绿电消纳重心转向需求侧 行业建言完善价格机制The focus of green electricity consumption shifts to the demand side, industry suggests improving the pricing mechanism

随着新能源装机规模不断扩张,国内绿电发展的重点已从解决“发得出”转向激活需求侧潜力、实现绿电“用得好”。在近日召开的“2026绿色转型与高质量发展国际研讨会”上,与会专家围绕价格机制、消纳场景与产业适配展开讨论。
近年来,中国能源绿色低碳转型成果显著。今年7月,光伏发电装机容量历史性超越煤电,成为国内装机规模最大的电源品类,但新能源利用率承压不容忽视。今年前三季度,国内风电、光伏平均利用率约92%、93%,对比2024年、2025年同期94%至97%的水平,呈下滑态势。
在此背景下,今年7月印发的《可再生能源发展“十五五”规划》首次提出风电光伏平均置信出力达到8%的可靠性提升目标。国家能源局相关负责人彼时表示,“十五五”时期要提升开发、输送和利用综合效率,逐步向兼具电量供应、容量支撑和系统调节能力的主力电源转变。
北京大学能源研究院副院长杨雷认为,新型能源体系建设的关键在于打破传统条块分割,实现多能融合互补和供需协同,共同降低系统成本、共享新能源红利。在他看来,优化资源配置的关键在于市场设计与价格信号,而非技术本身。虚拟电厂、车网融合、绿电直连、源网荷储一体化等新模式,只有让用户收获实实在在的经济收益,绿色转型才具备可持续的内生动力。
交通领域蕴藏着不小的新能源消纳与负荷调节潜力。随着国内新能源汽车保有量超过5000万辆,其对电力系统运行开始产生实质影响。清华大学能源互联网创新研究院特聘研究员李立理介绍,若将电动汽车的动力电池视为移动储能,当前国内70%以上的储能资源都集中在新能源汽车上。国内车网协同已出现较明确的商业场景:一是利用工商业峰谷价差开展表后储能和峰谷套利,二是通过车网互动(V2G)上网电价参与电网互动。全国现已有9个省市出台V2G上网电价政策,为电动汽车向电网反向送电提供价格机制基础。李立理表示,未来这些电池若通过聚合平台参与电能量、辅助服务等市场,将释放巨大的储能价值;他建议车企、电池企业通过电池延保等服务消除用户参与V2G的顾虑,构建车主、企业、电网多方共赢的商业生态。
工业领域对电力系统的需求同样在变化。电力规划设计总院能源科技创新研究院高级工程师张盛提出,工业领域的需求正从单纯保供转向保供与绿电溯源并重;“十五五”期间建设100个左右国家级零碳园区的目标,对工业行业绿电消纳和碳排放强度下降提出了更高要求。他表示,园区可以挖掘屋顶光伏、工业余热余压发电,搭建园区能量管理平台提升源荷匹配水平;当前电锅炉、电窑炉、工业热泵等技术总体已趋成熟,更多工作将落在工程验证、政策保障和机制设计上。张盛强调,有效的价格信号是压低园区综合用能成本、提高绿电消纳水平的重要前提。另据他介绍,国内高载能行业用电量占比逐年下降,目前已降至约25%,而高技术制造产业用电量正快速上升。
新兴产业被视为“十五五”时期新能源消纳的主要场景。自然资源保护协会清洁电力项目副主任黄辉分析称,新兴产业用能以电力消费为主,经济承受能力较强,发展预期向好,与能源基础设施投资回收周期较长的特点较为契合。不过,与会嘉宾提醒,不同产业的负荷特性及其与新能源适配度分化明显,相应的调节成本也有分化:高端制造业、算力中心对供电可靠性要求较高,若无配套储能等快速调节资源,很难响应短时波动,仅能在产能宽松时转移部分负荷;相比之下,绿氢产业依托电解槽技术进步,正成为优质柔性负荷,能够实现负荷灵活启停、快速响应。
针对行业分化特征,黄辉建议进一步完善分时电价、容量补偿、辅助服务等市场机制,对适配新能源的用户适当降低系统成本分摊;同时通过差异化考核、分时分区绿电绿证以及可再生能源消纳责任等政策,引导行业扩大新能源消费。此外,针对绿电边际成本抬升、市场支付意愿下降问题,完善电碳排放核算体系和产品碳足迹管理,依托政府绿色采购、碳普惠等手段,引导绿色溢价向终端消费环节传导。
With the continuous expansion of renewable energy installation capacity, the focus of domestic green power development has shifted from ensuring "generation availability" to activating demand-side potential and achieving "optimal use" of green power. At the recently held "2026 Green Transition and High-Quality Development International Seminar," participating experts discussed price mechanisms, consumption scenarios, and industry adaptation.
In recent years, China has made significant achievements in the green and low-carbon energy transition. This July, the installed capacity of photovoltaic power generation historically surpassed coal power, becoming the largest power source category in domestic installation capacity. However, the utilization rate of renewable energy faces pressure that cannot be ignored. In the first three quarters of this year, the average utilization rates of domestic wind and photovoltaic power were about 92% and 93%, respectively. Compared to the same period in 2024 and 2025, when the levels were 94% to 97%, a downward trend is observed.
Against this backdrop, the "15th Five-Year Plan for Renewable Energy Development" issued in July this year proposed for the first time a reliability improvement goal of achieving an average confidence output of 8% for wind and photovoltaic power. At that time, a relevant official from the National Energy Administration stated that during the "15th Five-Year Plan" period, it is necessary to improve the comprehensive efficiency of development, transmission, and utilization, and gradually transform into a main power source that provides electricity supply, capacity support, and system regulation capabilities.
Yang Lei, Deputy Director of the Institute of Energy at Peking University, believes that the key to building a renewable energy system lies in breaking the traditional segmented structure, achieving the integration and complementation of multiple energy sources, and coordinating supply and demand to jointly reduce system costs and share the benefits of renewable energy. In his view, the key to optimizing resource allocation lies in market design and price signals, rather than the technology itself. New models such as virtual power plants, vehicle-grid integration, direct green power connections, and integrated source-grid-load-storage can only provide sustainable intrinsic motivation for green transition if users receive tangible economic benefits.
The transportation sector holds considerable potential for the absorption of renewable energy and load regulation. With the number of renewable energy vehicles in China exceeding 50 million, they have begun to have a substantial impact on the operation of the power system. Li Lili, a specially appointed researcher at the Tsinghua University Institute for Energy Internet Innovation, explained that if the power batteries of electric vehicles are regarded as mobile energy storage, currently more than 70% of domestic energy storage resources are concentrated in renewable energy vehicles. Clear commercial scenarios for vehicle-to-grid (V2G) collaboration have already emerged in China: first, using peak-valley price differences in commercial and industrial sectors to conduct behind-the-meter energy storage and peak-valley arbitrage; second, participating in grid interactions through V2G and electricity pricing. Nine provinces and cities nationwide have launched V2G electricity pricing policies, providing a price mechanism foundation for electric vehicles to supply power back to the grid. Li Lili stated that in the future, if these batteries participate in electricity markets and ancillary services through aggregation platforms, they will release enormous energy storage value. He also suggested that automakers and battery companies use services such as extended battery warranties to alleviate users' concerns about participating in V2G, thereby creating a win-win business ecosystem for vehicle owners, enterprises, and the grid.
The demand for power systems in the industrial sector is also changing. Zhang Sheng, a senior engineer at the Energy Technology Innovation Research Institute of the General Institute of Electric Power Planning and Design, pointed out that the demand in the industrial sector is shifting from simply ensuring supply to balancing supply security with green electricity traceability; the goal of building around 100 national zero-carbon parks during the 15th Five-Year Plan period has set higher requirements for green electricity consumption and reducing carbon emission intensity in the industrial sector. He stated that parks can utilize rooftop photovoltaics, industrial waste heat and pressure power generation, and build park energy management platforms to improve source-load matching; currently, technologies such as electric boilers, electric kilns, and industrial heat pumps have generally matured, and more work will focus on engineering verification, policy support, and mechanism design. Zhang Sheng emphasized that effective price signals are an important prerequisite for reducing the overall energy cost of the parks and improving green electricity consumption. He also noted that the proportion of electricity consumption by high energy-intensive industries in China has been declining year by year, currently down to about 25%, while electricity consumption in high-tech manufacturing industries is rapidly increasing.
Emerging industries are regarded as the main scenarios for the consumption of renewable energy during the 15th Five-Year Plan period. Huang Hui, Deputy Director of the Clean Power Project at the Nature Conservancy, analyzed that energy consumption in emerging industries is mainly electricity-based, with strong economic bearing capacity and favorable development prospects, which aligns well with the long investment recovery cycles of energy infrastructure. However, participants in the meeting reminded that the load characteristics of different industries and their compatibility with renewable energy vary significantly, and the corresponding adjustment costs also differ: high-end manufacturing and computing centers require high power supply reliability. Without supporting fast-adjustment resources such as energy storage, they find it difficult to respond to short-term fluctuations and can only shift part of the load when production capacity is ample. In contrast, the green hydrogen industry, relying on advances in electrolyzer technology, is becoming a high-quality flexible load, capable of flexible start-up and shutdown and rapid response.
Regarding the differentiated characteristics of the industry, Huang Hui suggested further improving market mechanisms such as time-of-use electricity pricing, capacity compensation, and ancillary services, and appropriately reducing system cost sharing for users adapted to renewable energy. At the same time, through differentiated assessments, time-and-region-based green electricity certificates, and renewable energy consumption obligations, policies can guide the industry to expand renewable energy consumption. In addition, to address the issues of rising marginal costs of green electricity and declining market willingness to pay, the electricity carbon emission accounting system and product carbon footprint management should be improved, relying on government green procurement, carbon inclusiveness, and other measures to guide the transmission of green premiums to the end-consumer stage.
[Source: Yicai Global]
[Editor: Xiao Neng]
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